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Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 21, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Five cities, two balance sheets

Five Texas cities report positive General Fund balances and negative governmental unrestricted net position. The difference matters when deciding what a city can afford.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 21, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

The school-tax dollar Austin keeps

Austin ISD booked $1.51 billion in maintenance-and-operations taxes in FY2025. Recapture sent just over half away. The remaining budget has its own pressures.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 21, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Harris County’s toll-road cash

HCTRA transferred $961 million to other county transportation funds over three years. Its accounts show why a toll dollar is more than a payment on an old road bond.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 19, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Divisibility patterns and the size of a witness

A superexponential lower bound for the maximum, an exact family rate, and a universal upper bound. The exact growth remains open.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 19, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Every ordering, from zeros and ones

One fixed set of inputs. Every possible ordering. A constructive proof with an exact, interactive example.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 19, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Two requested recurrence proofs

An alternating matrix inverse, a formal binomial transform, and two explicit proof requests.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 14, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Anduril is building a prime. The price assumes a platform.

A cash-flow valuation of the factories, software economics, and financing required to turn defense demand into shareholder returns.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 14, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Hyperliquid can win without HYPE being cheap.

A $30 central case can still assume an excellent business. The difference is what reaches the token, how long growth lasts, and how many claims share it.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 14, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Kalshi’s $40 billion question

The market can grow faster than the fees Kalshi keeps. A valuation built around distribution, sports access, and the cash left for shareholders.

The Autodidacts
Oct 13, 2026 from The Autodidacts

Curiosity Traps

On reverse honeypots, rewarding close attention, and finding your people

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 13, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Crocs: a cash engine with a brand test.

A long on the profitable footwear franchise, with cash-funded repurchases and an explicit tax-payment stress.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 13, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Texas Robotaxis: Who Can Ride?

Compare actual rider access, operating roles and trip fit before building robotaxis into an employee or guest transport plan.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 13, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Waymo for the Actual Trip

Check the city, booking channel, airport leg and pickup time before putting a Texas Waymo trip into a business itinerary.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 13, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Adobe: paid workflows at a price I like.

A long on recurring creative and document demand, with a cash budget for AI, acquisitions and fewer shares.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 13, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

ElevenLabs: what a finished minute is worth

A voice demo is the opening. I model the review, fallback and cash capture needed to turn generated usage into work a customer renews.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 13, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Expedia: the network beyond the booking.

A long on consumer efficiency and partner distribution, with advance travel cash removed from the valuation anchor.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 13, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Flock: the renewal has to pay for the camera

One annual fee bundles equipment and continuing service. I model the cash a deployment must recover and the renewal risk that can interrupt it.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 13, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

PayPal: a modest recovery at $56.

A long on transaction-margin recovery, valued after employee equity, lending reinvestment and customer obligations.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 13, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

Ramp and the economics of saving money

I separate the card bridge from paid workflow value, then test whether the platform and its buyer keep enough of the benefit.

Sulayman Bowles — Writing
Oct 13, 2026 from Sulayman Bowles — Writing

The Permit Behind the Ride

Texas now requires commercial driverless authorization. Verify the holder, vehicle, operating conditions and response plan before relying on the service.

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